The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come with statement successes into this Saturdays match.
LSU moved to Texas and beat the Longhorns in week 2. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams seem to take more than a top-four place in the race to College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the solution in their opinion. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a point in the 4th quarter since their opener. Since he went 11 with three INTs into making poor decisions that were several last week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
But Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in college football. That contains the 45 they dropped on Texas.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs on BetNow. Would the No. cover the spread and 5 scoring defense keep this close? Or will the No. 2 passing offense as well as Burrow keep rolling and win the wager? Here is the breakdown.
There is hardly any uncertainty in Burrows skill . He has converted into a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with a few of the best receiving teams in the country. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, with averages above 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has good length using his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some big games. Chase is a physical existence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal who will fill the spot. It is all a part of a passing game thats Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the roughest DB unit theyve played with . Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by LSUs other competitors: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits at 33rd, even although its safe to say they have yet to perform with a QB of Burrows caliber. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on irregular so far at the other corner spot, but has a high ceiling.
Burrow will even face a menacing pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as coming in to this season, is coming back from injury. With him on both side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though the new QB must enhance his consciousness in the pocket, he has to get flustered with an opposing line. Auburns is the very finest in the country, and ranks 11th in line yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and can be 85th in sack speed. Theyll rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask off his game. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the game and sprained a knee.
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LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is most frequently regarded as DBU for the talent they have on the perimeter of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman group, or even more, in 2019.
On the opposite side of him will probably be Kristian Fulton, that let the smallest sum of first downs this past year out of all returning FBS corners. Though this group is in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, it will be a push if given an opportunity against a driven Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, who hasnt got their running game this season, going. A tackle broke at the point on his way last weekend. Even with this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also can be going up against the No. 1 d-line concerning energy achievement (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front may not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the floor, and thats like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky match.
If they dont get Perine or Dameon Pierce going frequently, it places a lot of strain on Trask in a hostile environment.
Florida has earned admiration from the school football world after week. And while I do not expect them to come out in Death Valley with a win from LSU, I really do see this game staying than many.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs from the FBS. However, LSU isnt going to put up 45 or something close to that against a defense who is known at all three levels. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will wear out over time, since the team has relied upon them far too much to modify the tide in matches. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject from Jefferson or the Chase to some late-game PIs.
However, I dont anticipate this until late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the match in a lot of a slog until afterward makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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